Skip to main content

The Relevant Company

Back

The Opportunity Is Bigger Than You Think. Here Is Why.

Automation does not destroy demand — historically, it expands it. Aging populations, longer lives, and a generation of higher-spending younger consumers are creating categories of need that do not yet exist. The opportunity for builders has never been larger, and most of it has not been built yet.
The Opportunity Is Bigger Than You Think. Here Is Why.

The previous article argued that the world is restructuring itself around entrepreneurship — that the system built to produce employees is becoming obsolete, and that the threshold for building something independently has never been lower.

That argument was about pressure and access. This one is about what comes next.

If more people are going to build things, the question worth asking is: what will they build for? Is there enough demand to sustain a world with significantly more builders? Or does the opportunity eventually saturate, the way textile jobs peaked and then collapsed?

The answer, across every data source available, points in one direction. The demand side of this equation is not contracting. It is expanding faster than most people realize — and it is about to expand in ways that have no historical precedent.


Why Automation Does Not Have to Kill Demand

The fear about AI and automation is usually framed as a supply-side story: machines replace workers, workers lose income, the economy contracts. That framing is incomplete.

Economist James Bessen, in research published by the National Bureau of Economic Research, examined what actually happened in industries that experienced the most dramatic automation in history — textiles, steel, and automotive manufacturing. The pattern was not a straight line from automation to job loss. For decades in each industry, employment grew even as productivity exploded. The reason: when technology lowers prices in a market where demand is unsaturated, people do not simply buy the same amount for less money. They find new uses. They buy more. They discover needs they did not know they had. Demand expands to absorb the productivity gain, and employment grows with it.

The job losses came later, when demand for those specific products became saturated. People had enough cloth. They had enough steel. The market was full.

The critical question for the current moment is not whether AI will automate tasks. It will. The question is whether the markets it touches are saturated or unsaturated. Whether there is still unmet demand waiting to be unlocked.

On almost every measure, the answer is that demand is nowhere near satiated — and several forces are about to expand it dramatically.


More People, More Years, More Needs

Global life expectancy has increased from 46 years in 1950 to over 73 years today. The Global Burden of Disease Study, published in The Lancet, forecasts it will reach 78 years by 2050. That is nearly 5 additional years of life per person, globally, within a single generation.

Those additional years are not empty years. They are years of consumption, need, health challenges, housing transitions, relationship changes, identity shifts, and demand for things that do not yet exist in the forms people will need them. The same study notes that more people will live longer but with more years spent managing non-communicable diseases — chronic conditions that require ongoing care, adaptation, and entirely new categories of product and service.

The spending numbers reflect this. Goldman Sachs research identifies healthcare, senior living, home care, and experience-based spending as the fastest-growing categories driven by aging demographics. These are not niche markets. By 2050, the number of people over 65 will double from 800 million to 1.6 billion globally — and most of what they will need in their seventies, eighties, and nineties has not been built yet.

And that is just the conventional projection.


The Bolder Claim

There is a more radical version of this argument being made by serious scientists and backed by serious money.

British biologist Aubrey de Grey — a controversial but influential figure in the field — has proposed the theory of longevity escape velocity: the point at which medical technology advances fast enough that for every year a person lives, their expected remaining lifespan increases by more than a year. Cross that threshold and human lifespan becomes, in practical terms, unlimited.

Whether or not that timeline is accurate, the capital flowing toward the possibility is real. As Fortune reported in January 2026, Altos Labs launched in 2022 with $3 billion in funding, backed by Jeff Bezos, focused on cellular rejuvenation. NewLimit, cofounded by Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, raised $130 million to pursue epigenetic reprogramming — resetting cells to younger states. Elon Musk has called aging “a very solvable problem.” The same month, Life Biosciences — cofounded by Harvard genetics professor David Sinclair — received the first FDA approval for a partial de-aging human trial. According to Crunchbase data, longevity startups continue to attract significant venture capital with no sign of slowing.

To be clear: some of these bets will fail. Several public longevity companies have already underperformed. The gap between ambition and clinical reality in this field is large. Longevity is not immortality — not yet, and perhaps not soon.

But the direction of the bet is instructive. The people with the most resources and the longest time horizons are treating the extension of human life as an engineering problem rather than a philosophical limit. If they are even partially right, the demand implications are staggering.

A person living to 150 needs things that do not exist. Financial products designed for a 90-year working life. Housing for five distinct phases of adulthood. Healthcare for conditions that currently kill people before they become chronic. Identity structures, social systems, relationship models, and career frameworks for lives that do not end at 75. None of that has been built yet.


The Generation That Will Spend More Than Any Before It

While longevity extends the top of the demand curve, the bottom is also expanding.

Gen Z spending is growing twice as fast as previous generations at the same age. By 2029, it will eclipse baby boomer spending globally. According to McKinsey’s State of the Consumer 2025, by 2035 Gen Z will add $8.9 trillion to the global economy. The average 25-year-old Gen Z consumer in the United States has a household income 50% higher than the average baby boomer had at the same age, adjusted for inflation.

This is not a generation that has been told what it wants. It is a generation actively constructing new categories of demand — in wellness, identity, experience, community, sustainability, and digital life — most of which did not exist as consumer categories a decade ago.


What This Means for Builders

Bessen’s research on automation and employment contains one finding that does not get enough attention: historically, predictions about technological unemployment have consistently failed to anticipate the new sources of demand that technology creates. The jobs that replaced the ones automation eliminated were often in categories that did not exist when the prediction was made.

The human pattern, across every era of economic disruption, is not satiation. It is expansion. People do not reach a point of having enough and stop. They redefine what enough means and reach for the next version of it. New income gets spent on new things. New years of life generate new needs. New generations arrive with preferences the previous generation could not have imagined.

The first article in this series argued that the risk of not building has never been higher. This article makes the complementary case: the opportunity available to builders has never been larger.

More people. More years. More phases of life requiring new things. A generation arriving with more spending power and different priorities than any before it. A longevity industry betting billions that the upper limit of human life is not fixed. And a technology that, historically, has tended to expand demand rather than kill it when applied to unsaturated markets.

Bessen’s textile data showed demand expanding by orders of magnitude even as productivity exploded and jobs were automated away. The question worth sitting with: which category that does not yet exist will expand by the same order of magnitude for the generation that lives to 120?

Nobody knows. That is the point. That is where the builders go.

Related articles

Founders Don't Have a Decision Problem. They Have a Volume Problem.

Relevant Founders

Founders Don’t Have a Decision Problem. They Have a Volume Problem.

Read more
The Focus Advice Is Right. It's Just Aimed at the Wrong Moment.

Relevant Founders

The Focus Advice Is Right. It’s Just Aimed at the Wrong Moment.

Read more
The Entrepreneurial Experience Paradox

Relevant Founders

The Entrepreneurial Experience Paradox

Read more